The long term increase of the S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials misleadingly entices investors to believe that it’s easy to make stock market predictions.…
Business Cycles
What Counting Cranes Can Tell You
To our list of less traditional economic indicators like the men’s underwear index, we can add the cranes that help to build our skyscrapers and stadiums.…
Getting Some Unemployment Insight Through a JOLT
By looking at job openings, hires, and quit rates in the JOLT Summary, we can get some unemployment insight about tighter labor markets.…
How to Measure Our Misery
The economic way to demonstrate sadness is to look at misery indexes that use macro data to measure changes in our emotions.…
How a Paper Jam is Like a Recession
Whether it’s the paper in your copier machine or the goods and services in a market economy, flows and jams can be rather similar.…
What Super Bowl Ads Really Say
Ranging from Apple to Amazon, and Pets.com to Ameriquest, decades of Super Bowl ads can demonstrate some major turning points in the U.S. economy.…
The Shrinking Cities Problem
An idyllic mountain village wants you. The town has one shop, a church, houses that have been there forever, and a population that has shrunk to 240. It is located in the Swiss Alps. Albinen’s p…
The Surprising Lessons From Economic Crises
For all economic crises, some economists tell us, “This time it’s different,” while others disagree with their new solutions.…
Not Quite a Goldilocks Recovery
To decide the strength of our economic recovery since the Great Recession, we can use seven numbers or just one that might be most important.…
The Accuracy of the Mashed Potato Index
Mashed Potatoes could be a good way to decide the direction of consumer spending. Where are we going? To consumer spending indices. The Mashed Potato Index (MPI) A pound container of mashed potatoes w…