prediction markets

July 14, 2024
prediction markets
Published by Elaine Schwartz at July 14, 2024
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How Supply and Demand Make Presidential Predictions

Called collective intelligence, sometimes crowds can be smarter than individuals. Take jelly beans. When researchers have tried to compare the individual and the crowd, they have […]

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November 18, 2015
Published by Elaine Schwartz at November 18, 2015
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Why Shades of Gray Might Lead to Better Research

Through his Reproducibility Project, Brian Nosek shows that scientific accuracy can be assessed through replication of results and prediction markets.

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September 3, 2014
Arthur Ashe Stadium
Published by Elaine Schwartz at September 3, 2014
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Using Prediction Markets to Catch Match-Fixing at Wimbledon

When supply and demand in tennis match prediction markets created illogical prices, researchers said that 3 matches at Wimbledon might have been fixed.

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November 12, 2011
Published by Elaine Schwartz at November 12, 2011
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Presidential Wagers

 Looking at the University of Iowa GOP Iowa Caucus Market, you could create these headlines: “Gingrich gains.” “Cain crashes.” Perry plummets. Romney remains. With quotes indicated […]

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