Why You Should Bet On a Vaccine

Giving us unbiased insight about the future, vaccine prediction markets can help us predict when the economy could return to normal.

What Tweets Can Say About the Dow

Researchers are exploring how message volume and sentiment analysis in social media like Twitter and Yahoo can be used to predict financial markets.

What Greek Markets are Saying to Us

Reflecting collective intelligence, markets in Greek CDSs and Greek bonds, and the dwindling deposits of Greek banks show if we’ll have a Greek default.

Sunk Costs: When to Cut Your Losses?

Several days ago, during a phone call, I was asked to “hold” for a moment. 5 minutes passed. No one returned. I considered hanging up but thought, I’ve already waited 5 minutes. They will have been wasted if I leave.…