What Can Pizza Say About the Pentagon?

Last summer, we asked if pizza deliveries could signal Pentagon activity.

Now we have the same question.

The Pizza Pentagon Correlation

Iran

Using Google Maps data, the Pentagon Pizza Report monitors Defense Department pie deliveries. On June 12, 2025, at 7 p.m., they cited a spike in activity. The next day, the surprise Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites began. Then, on June 22, the U.S. began its offensive:

Venezuela

Similarly, there were many more pizza deliveries during early January:

I wonder if the spike that I copied last night from the Pizza Report’s Index could signal more military activity:

At this point, we should question the connection between pizza and late night military planning.

Our Bottom Line: Correlation or Causation (or Neither)

At the website Spurious Correlations, the list is long. The examples range from divorce rates and Disney movies to Amazon’s stock price and a brewery count.

Divorce and Disney:Breweries and Amazon:

From less consequential topics, we can leap to why causation matters. Only then can we suggest the policy changes that lead to sought after results. For example, at Our World in Data, they investigate the connection between democracy and better health.

Below, they say the data suggest correlation:

But then, demonstrating a misleading correlation or causation. they move to other more precise variables. They cite the public service delivery that comes from elevated spending, reduced biases, less corruption, and more administrative effectiveness. These, they say, establish a more causal connection between democracy and public health.

Where are we? We can ask if the pizza Pentagon correlation is misleading…or accurate? Your opinion?

My sources and more: Thanks to this IB Times article for today’s pizza correlation update. From there, we returned to our first econlife on the Pentagon Pizza Index and also to Spurious Correlations. And finally, as always, Our World In Data came in handy.

Please note that several of today’s sentences are from our July econlife post.