Predicting the Election

Today, let’s take a look at what three markets are saying about the U.S. presidential election. A Currency Market The Mexican peso/dollar foreign exchange market says that Mexico would not be pleased with a Trump win. During early August the peso rebounded when Trump’s…

Election Economics 2016: Does Anyone Care About the Debt?

An ignored issue during the first presidential debate, the soaring federal debt would increase further if Clinton and Trump implemented their proposals.

Election Economics 2016: Why It’s Tough to Prove the Benefits of Trade

Easier to oppose free trade than support it, the candidates and many average Americans disagree with most economists who see the invisible benefits.

Election Economics 2016: Why It’s Tough to Prove the Benefits of Trade

Easier to oppose free trade than support it, the candidates and many average Americans disagree with most economists who see the invisible benefits.

Election Economics 2016: Tax Equity

Currently at 40% for estates that exceed $5.45 million, the federal estate tax is liked by neither candidate. While Hillary Clinton wants to raise it, Donald Trump says erase it. Where are we going? To equitable solutions. The Frugals and the Profligates…

Predicting the Election With the Economy

When Bill Clinton ran against George H.W. Bush, the 1992 November unemployment rate was 7.4% while during the previous June, it touched 7.8%. You can see why the big sign in his campaign HQ said, “It’s the economy, stupid.” Now, Mrs. Clinton’s…

Tax Rate History and the Candidates

Comparing Hillary Clinton’s, Bernie Sanders’s and Donald Trump’s individual income tax proposals with tax rate history we can judge their plans.

Using Presidential Futures Markets to Forecast Election Winners

Through the wisdom of prediction markets, the prices of the shares of presidential futures forecast who has the best chance of winning.

Power and Pantsuits

Today, some thoughts about pantsuits and power. One scholarly analysis of Hillary Clinton’s pantsuits concluded that they displayed her toughness. In a Harper’s Bazaar interview, Nancy Pelosi is asked, “How many pantsuits do you have?” Her answer: “I don’t have…

Election Economics: The Economics of Foreign Policy

Although tonight’s presidential debate is about foreign policy, perhaps the real focus is the economy. More than 200 years ago, Alexander Hamilton created the connection between economic policy and foreign policy. By funding the Revolutionary War debt, he established public credit and US borrowing…