Unusual Economic Indicators

If you see women in long skirts at “sit-down” restaurants, then the economy is probably expanding. Since 1926 when the hemline index was first expressed, economists have assumed that hemlines fall if the economy contracts and rise during prosperity. However,…

Unexpected Economic Indicators

Instead of the G.D.P., CPI, and assorted leading and lagging indicators, economists also look at an entirely different set of data. Sometimes hemlines, movie star preferences, and everyday purchases provide business cycle evidence. During a plunge in economic activity, people’s…