Asked why healthcare is relatively expensive while cell phones are not, you could answer, “Baumol’s Disease.”
Described by New Yorker columnist James Surowiecki, to play Mozart’s String Quartet in G minor in 1787 and now, we need 2 violinists, 2 violists, and a cellist. And therein lies our predicament. Because we always need the same amount of land, labor and capital, we cannot increase our productivity.
Like Mozart’s String Quartet in G minor, for medicine and higher education, we need human input that remains relatively constant. In addition, as economist Tyler Cowen explains in The Great Stagnation, with certain tasks, our productivity is even tough to measure. For medical care–is it doctor visits? Cures? Treatments?
The bottom line?
We are experiencing a productivity divergence. For many goods and services, through global competition, we enjoy the benefits of productivity growth. Afflicted with Baumol’s Disease and other ailments, government, healthcare and higher education, though, will require more jobs, become increasingly costly and experience less productivity growth.
The Economic Lesson
An Economic Question: How might current economic sluggishness relate to a productivity divergence?